NBA
NBA predictions and model picks
NBA pages so far are preseason, which is context only: no leans, nothing graded. The model behind the numbers uses last season's team ratings and is not lineup-aware, so treat the gaps you see here as background.
Formal NBA leans so far: 0-0. 15 games were passes or context only and not graded.
DayOct 8, 2026
-
Celtics vs CavaliersContext onlyPreseason
-
Pelicans vs HeatContext onlyPreseason
-
76ers vs NetsContext onlyPreseason
-
Wizards vs KnicksContext onlyPreseason
-
Hawks vs SpursContext onlyPreseason
-
Kings vs LakersContext onlyPreseason
DayOct 7, 2026
-
Timberwolves vs PacersContext only MIN 112, IND 123Preseason
-
Bucks vs ThunderContext only MIL 128, OKC 126Preseason
-
Magic vs GrizzliesContext only ORL 122, MEM 118Preseason
-
Suns vs BullsContext only PHX 117, CHI 124Preseason
-
Warriors vs Trail BlazersContext only GS 118, POR 123Preseason
DayOct 6, 2026
-
Nets vs HornetsContext only BKN 124, CHA 90Preseason
-
Pelicans vs ThunderContext only NO 116, OKC 110Preseason
-
Nuggets vs JazzContext only DEN 117, UTAH 106Preseason
-
Lakers vs WarriorsContext only LAL 98, GS 124Preseason
LinksNBA teams
Follow the daily log
Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
Follow @0xDune0104 on XHow the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).