Model log
Model picks for Oct 13, 2026
0-1Leans W-L
1Formal leans
0Honest passes
3Context only
4 games made our published slate for Tuesday, Oct 13, 2026 (MLB and NBA): 1 formal lean, 0 honest passes, and 3 context-only games.
The formal leans went 0-1. Passes and context games are listed with their finals but never count toward the record.
MLBMLB games
-
Guardians vs RaysLean Miss CLE 1, TB 3ALCS Game 2 · Guardians model 50.1% vs 44.5¢, +5.1¢ at ask
NBANBA games
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Knicks vs RaptorsContext only NY 98, TOR 148Preseason
-
Cavaliers vs MagicContext only CLE 116, ORL 132Preseason
-
Warriors vs LakersContext only GS 101, LAL 89Preseason
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
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FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.