Model log
Model picks for Oct 26, 2026
0-0Leans W-L
0Formal leans
7Honest passes
0Context only
7 games made our published slate for Monday, Oct 26, 2026 (MLB and NBA and NHL): 0 formal leans, 7 honest passes, and 0 context-only games.
No formal leans this day, so nothing here is graded. Finals are listed for reference.
MLBMLB games
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Brewers vs RaysHonest passWorld Series Game 3 · Brewers model 48.7% vs 48.5¢, -0.3¢ at ask
NBANBA games
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Timberwolves vs CavaliersHonest passTimberwolves model 39.4% vs 37.5¢, +1.4¢ at ask
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Wizards vs HornetsHonest passHornets model 58.3% vs 55.5¢, +2.3¢ at ask
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Bulls vs CelticsHonest passBulls model 18.3% vs 13.5¢, +4.3¢ at ask
NHLNHL games
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Kings vs RangersHonest passRangers model 56.0% vs 55.5¢, -0.1¢ at ask
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Maple Leafs vs FlamesHonest passFlames model 44.0% vs 42.5¢, +1.1¢ at ask
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Red Wings vs OilersHonest passRed Wings model 38.9% vs 38.5¢, -0.1¢ at ask
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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How the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).
FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.