Model log
Model picks for Oct 10, 2026
4 games made our published slate for Saturday, Oct 10, 2026 (MLB and NBA): 1 formal lean, 0 honest passes, and 3 context-only games.
The formal leans went 0-1. Passes and context games are listed with their finals but never count toward the record.
MLBMLB games
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White Sox vs GuardiansLean Miss CHW 0, CLE 2ALDS Game 5 · White Sox model 48.3% vs 43.5¢, +4.3¢ at ask
NBANBA games
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Hawks vs PacersContext only ATL 119, IND 117Preseason
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Pistons vs WizardsContext only DET 108, WSH 114Preseason
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Spurs vs SunsContext only SA 98, PHX 102Preseason
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
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