Model log
Model picks for Oct 20, 2026
0-0Leans W-L
0Formal leans
6Honest passes
0Context only
6 games made our published slate for Tuesday, Oct 20, 2026 (NBA and NHL): 0 formal leans, 6 honest passes, and 0 context-only games.
No formal leans this day, so nothing here is graded. Finals are listed for reference.
NBANBA games
-
Celtics vs PistonsHonest passPistons model 50.0% vs 47.5¢, +2.0¢ at ask
-
76ers vs KnicksHonest passKnicks model 61.5% vs 61.5¢, -0.5¢ at ask
-
Thunder vs SpursHonest passSpurs model 52.5% vs 51.5¢, +0.5¢ at ask
NHLNHL games
-
Kings vs CapitalsHonest passCapitals model 59.2% vs 58.5¢, +0.2¢ at ask
-
Bruins vs StarsHonest passBruins model 41.6% vs 39.5¢, +1.6¢ at ask
-
Hurricanes vs CanucksHonest passCanucks model 29.1% vs 26.5¢, +2.1¢ at ask
LinksMore pages
Get in touch
Follow the daily log
Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
Follow @0xDune0104 on XGet in touch
How the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).
FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.