Model log
Model picks for Oct 16, 2026
0-0Leans W-L
3Formal leans
0Honest passes
3Context only
6 games made our published slate for Friday, Oct 16, 2026 (MLB and NBA and NHL): 3 formal leans, 0 honest passes, and 3 context-only games.
Lean results are still pending.
MLBMLB games
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Rays vs GuardiansLean PendingALCS Game 4 · Guardians model 52.2% vs 49.5¢, +2.2¢ at ask
NBANBA games
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Bucks vs PacersContext onlyPreseason
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Celtics vs 76ersContext onlyPreseason
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Wizards vs PelicansContext onlyPreseason
NHLNHL games
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Penguins vs AvalancheLean PendingAvalanche model 83.9% vs 65.5¢, +17.9¢ at ask
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Bruins vs DucksLean PendingBruins model 62.6% vs 51.5¢, +10.6¢ at ask
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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How the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).
FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.