Model log
Model picks for Nov 1, 2026
0-0Leans W-L
0Formal leans
6Honest passes
0Context only
6 games made our published slate for Sunday, Nov 1, 2026 (NBA and NHL): 0 formal leans, 6 honest passes, and 0 context-only games.
No formal leans this day, so nothing here is graded. Finals are listed for reference.
NBANBA games
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Celtics vs MagicHonest passMagic model 35.1% vs 30.5¢, +4.1¢ at ask
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Nets vs PacersHonest passPacers model 59.7% vs 59.5¢, -0.3¢ at ask
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Raptors vs LakersHonest passRaptors model 39.6% vs 38.5¢, +0.7¢ at ask
NHLNHL games
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Wild vs CapitalsHonest passCapitals model 50.0% vs 49.5¢, +0.0¢ at ask
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Mammoth vs FlyersHonest passFlyers model 41.3% vs 39.5¢, +1.3¢ at ask
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Oilers vs RangersHonest passOilers model 47.6% vs 45.5¢, +1.6¢ at ask
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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How the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).
FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.