Model log
Model picks for Oct 7, 2026
9 games made our published slate for Wednesday, Oct 7, 2026 (MLB and NBA): 2 formal leans, 2 honest passes, and 5 context-only games.
The formal leans went 1-1. Passes and context games are listed with their finals but never count toward the record.
MLBMLB games
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Guardians vs White SoxHonest pass CLE 9, CHW 3ALDS Game 3 · White Sox model 53.6% vs 51.5¢, +1.6¢ at ask
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Dodgers vs BravesLean Miss LAD 4, ATL 1NLDS Game 4 · Braves model 51.5% vs 41.5¢, +9.5¢ at ask
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Rays vs YankeesLean Hit TB 4, NYY 3ALDS Game 3 · Rays model 47.4% vs 39.5¢, +7.4¢ at ask
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Brewers vs PadresHonest pass MIL 3, SD 1NLDS Game 4 · Padres model 52.1% vs 50.5¢, +1.1¢ at ask
NBANBA games
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Timberwolves vs PacersContext only MIN 112, IND 123Preseason
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Bucks vs ThunderContext only MIL 128, OKC 126Preseason
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Magic vs GrizzliesContext only ORL 122, MEM 118Preseason
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Suns vs BullsContext only PHX 117, CHI 124Preseason
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Warriors vs Trail BlazersContext only GS 118, POR 123Preseason
LinksMore pages
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
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