Model log
Model picks for Oct 28, 2026
0-0Leans W-L
1Formal leans
6Honest passes
0Context only
7 games made our published slate for Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026 (MLB and NBA and NHL): 1 formal lean, 6 honest passes, and 0 context-only games.
Lean results are still pending.
MLBMLB games
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Brewers vs RaysLean PendingWorld Series Game 5 · Rays model 52.0% vs 41.5¢, +10.0¢ at ask
NBANBA games
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Hornets vs PistonsHonest passHornets model 31.0% vs 28.5¢, +2.0¢ at ask
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Rockets vs BucksHonest passBucks model 30.5% vs 25.5¢, +4.5¢ at ask
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Warriors vs TimberwolvesHonest passTimberwolves model 60.5% vs 59.5¢, +0.5¢ at ask
NHLNHL games
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Flyers vs CapitalsHonest passFlyers model 34.5% vs 32.5¢, +1.5¢ at ask
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Flames vs OilersHonest passFlames model 36.7% vs 36.5¢, -0.3¢ at ask
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Devils vs AvalancheHonest passAvalanche model 56.5% vs 56.5¢, -0.5¢ at ask
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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How the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).
FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.