MLB

MLB predictions and model picks

MLB is where the model makes formal picks right now. Each game page shows the model probability, the Polymarket mid and ask, the edge in cents, the probable starters, and the final once it's in.

Formal MLB leans so far: 1-1. 4 games were passes or context only and not graded.

DayOct 7, 2026

• Guardians vs White Sox

  ALDS Game 3 · White Sox model 53.6% vs 51.5¢, +1.6¢ at ask
  Honest pass CLE 9, CHW 3
• Dodgers vs Braves

  NLDS Game 4 · Braves model 51.5% vs 41.5¢, +9.5¢ at ask
  Lean Miss LAD 4, ATL 1
• Rays vs Yankees

  ALDS Game 3 · Rays model 47.4% vs 39.5¢, +7.4¢ at ask
  Lean Hit TB 4, NYY 3
• Brewers vs Padres

  NLDS Game 4 · Padres model 52.1% vs 50.5¢, +1.1¢ at ask
  Honest pass MIL 3, SD 1

DayOct 6, 2026

• Dodgers vs Braves

  NLDS Game 3 · Braves model 52.5% vs 50.5¢, +1.5¢ at ask
  Honest pass LAD 3, ATL 1
• Brewers vs Padres

  NLDS Game 3 · Brewers model 45.7% vs 44.5¢, +0.7¢ at ask
  Honest pass MIL 3, SD 4

LinksMLB teams

Not financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).