Model log
Model vs Polymarket, graded in public
Daily sports predictions from the FOOFIGHTER model, priced against Polymarket. Formal leans are 1-1 so far, and every loss is on the record.
Every game the FOOFIGHTER model covers gets a page: model probability vs the Polymarket price, the edge at the ask, starters or ratings, injuries, the call, and the final. Formal leans get graded. Passes and preseason games don't.
Latest slateThursday, Oct 8, 2026
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Celtics vs CavaliersContext onlyNBA · Preseason
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Pelicans vs HeatContext onlyNBA · Preseason
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76ers vs NetsContext onlyNBA · Preseason
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Wizards vs KnicksContext onlyNBA · Preseason
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Hawks vs SpursContext onlyNBA · Preseason
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Kings vs LakersContext onlyNBA · Preseason
Latest resultsWednesday, Oct 7, 2026
Formal leans went 1-1. Passes and context games are listed with finals but not graded.
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Guardians vs White SoxHonest pass CLE 9, CHW 3MLB · ALDS Game 3 · White Sox model 53.6% vs 51.5¢, +1.6¢ at ask
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Dodgers vs BravesLean Miss LAD 4, ATL 1MLB · NLDS Game 4 · Braves model 51.5% vs 41.5¢, +9.5¢ at ask
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Timberwolves vs PacersContext only MIN 112, IND 123NBA · Preseason
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Rays vs YankeesLean Hit TB 4, NYY 3MLB · ALDS Game 3 · Rays model 47.4% vs 39.5¢, +7.4¢ at ask
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Bucks vs ThunderContext only MIL 128, OKC 126NBA · Preseason
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Magic vs GrizzliesContext only ORL 122, MEM 118NBA · Preseason
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Suns vs BullsContext only PHX 117, CHI 124NBA · Preseason
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Brewers vs PadresHonest pass MIL 3, SD 1MLB · NLDS Game 4 · Padres model 52.1% vs 50.5¢, +1.1¢ at ask
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Warriors vs Trail BlazersContext only GS 118, POR 123NBA · Preseason
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
Follow @0xDune0104 on XHow the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).