Model log
Model picks for Oct 23, 2026
0-0Leans W-L
4Formal leans
2Honest passes
0Context only
6 games made our published slate for Friday, Oct 23, 2026 (MLB and NBA and NHL): 4 formal leans, 2 honest passes, and 0 context-only games.
Lean results are still pending.
MLBMLB games
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Rays vs BrewersLean PendingWorld Series Game 1 · Rays model 46.1% vs 37.5¢, +8.1¢ at ask
NBANBA games
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Raptors vs WizardsLean PendingWizards model 29.5% vs 24.5¢, +4.5¢ at ask
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Mavericks vs PacersLean PendingMavericks model 33.8% vs 30.5¢, +2.8¢ at ask
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Trail Blazers vs KingsLean PendingKings model 27.5% vs 22.5¢, +4.5¢ at ask
NHLNHL games
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Canadiens vs BlackhawksHonest passBlackhawks model 42.4% vs 41.5¢, +0.4¢ at ask
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Lightning vs AvalancheHonest passLightning model 46.7% vs 46.5¢, -0.3¢ at ask
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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How the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).
FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.