Model log

Model picks for Oct 12, 2026

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2-0Leans W-L
2Formal leans
0Honest passes
3Context only

5 games made our published slate for Monday, Oct 12, 2026 (MLB and NBA): 2 formal leans, 0 honest passes, and 3 context-only games.

The formal leans went 2-0. Passes and context games are listed with their finals but never count toward the record.

MLBMLB games

  • Dodgers vs Brewers
    NLCS Game 2 · Brewers model 52.3% vs 45.5¢, +6.3¢ at ask
    Lean Hit LAD 4, MIL 7
  • Guardians vs Rays
    ALCS Game 1 · Guardians model 46.7% vs 39.5¢, +6.7¢ at ask
    Lean Hit CLE 7, TB 3

NBANBA games

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Full recordMLB picksNBA picks
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.

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How the model works

Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.

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FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.
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