Model log
Model picks for Oct 21, 2026
0-0Leans W-L
0Formal leans
5Honest passes
0Context only
5 games made our published slate for Wednesday, Oct 21, 2026 (NBA and NHL): 0 formal leans, 5 honest passes, and 0 context-only games.
No formal leans this day, so nothing here is graded. Finals are listed for reference.
NBANBA games
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Hawks vs MagicHonest passMagic model 54.9% vs 54.5¢, -0.1¢ at ask
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Hornets vs NetsHonest passHornets model 52.0% vs 51.5¢, +0.0¢ at ask
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Jazz vs GrizzliesHonest passGrizzlies model 54.1% vs 52.5¢, +1.1¢ at ask
NHLNHL games
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Flyers vs SabresHonest passFlyers model 37.3% vs 36.5¢, +0.3¢ at ask
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Panthers vs SenatorsHonest passSenators model 51.9% vs 50.5¢, +0.9¢ at ask
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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How the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).
FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.