Model log
Model picks for Nov 2, 2026
0-0Leans W-L
1Formal leans
5Honest passes
0Context only
6 games made our published slate for Monday, Nov 2, 2026 (NBA and NHL): 1 formal lean, 5 honest passes, and 0 context-only games.
Lean results are still pending.
NBANBA games
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Thunder vs CavaliersHonest passThunder model 41.2% vs 39.5¢, +1.2¢ at ask
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Nets vs KnicksLean PendingNets model 16.4% vs 11.5¢, +4.4¢ at ask
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Heat vs LakersHonest passLakers model 56.8% vs 55.5¢, +0.8¢ at ask
NHLNHL games
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Golden Knights vs BruinsHonest passBruins model 51.2% vs 49.5¢, +1.2¢ at ask
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Red Wings vs PanthersHonest passRed Wings model 40.0% vs 38.5¢, +1.0¢ at ask
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Flames vs SharksHonest passSharks model 53.6% vs 52.5¢, +0.6¢ at ask
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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How the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).
FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.