Model log
Model picks for Oct 17, 2026
0-0Leans W-L
3Formal leans
1Honest passes
0Context only
4 games made our published slate for Saturday, Oct 17, 2026 (MLB and NHL): 3 formal leans, 1 honest pass, and 0 context-only games.
Lean results are still pending.
MLBMLB games
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Rays vs GuardiansHonest passALCS Game 4 · Guardians model 50.4% vs 49.5¢, +0.4¢ at ask
NHLNHL games
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Kraken vs PanthersLean PendingKraken model 66.8% vs 35.5¢, +30.8¢ at ask
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Rangers vs Blue JacketsLean PendingRangers model 85.0% vs 45.5¢, +39.0¢ at ask
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Bruins vs KingsLean PendingBruins model 85.0% vs 44.5¢, +40.0¢ at ask
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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.
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How the model works
Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.
Read the methodologyNot financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).
FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.