NHL
Kings vs Blackhawks Prediction, Odds & Pick (Oct 27, 2026)
Model vs marketThe numbers
| Team | Model | mid | Ask | Edge vs mid | Edge vs ask | DraftKings no-vig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Kings | 51.5% | 51.5¢ | 52¢ | -0.0¢ | -0.5¢ | 52.6% |
| Chicago Blackhawks best side | 48.5% | 48.5¢ | 49¢ | +0.0¢ | -0.5¢ | 47.4% |
Snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 21:59 UTC+8 (last pregame data pull). Edge = model probability minus price, in cents per $1 share.
SetupThe setup
Kings vs Blackhawks is a regular-season game, played at United Center with tip-off at 8:00 PM EDT (08:00 on Oct 28, UTC+8).
Records coming in were 3-5-2 for the Kings and 3-8-0 for the Blackhawks.
Model vs marketWhere the model and the market disagree
On our numbers the Blackhawks win this 48.5% of the time. The market said 48.5¢ at the mid and 49¢ to buy, so the edge works out to +0.0¢ vs the mid and -0.5¢ vs the ask.
For the Kings it's the mirror image: 51.5% on the model vs 51.5¢ on the market.
Liquidity on the market was about $213K when we pulled the book (Oct 27, 2026, 21:59 UTC+8). NHL leans need at least 3.0¢ of edge at the ask.
MatchupInputs
First-listed goalies on ESPN: Darcy Kuemper for the Kings and Spencer Knight for the Blackhawks. That listing is not a confirmation.
BooksThe wider market
Over at DraftKings it was LA -122 with the total at 5.5. No-vig, the Blackhawks come out at 47.4%.
The model and the books are basically in the same place on this one.
AvailabilityWho's in, who's out
On the Blackhawks side, ESPN listed Bowen Byram (upper body, day-to-day).
On the Kings side, ESPN listed Mats Zuccarello (upper body, injured reserve).
The Kings also played on Oct 26, 2026 (vs the Rangers, won 6-3), so this was the second night of a back-to-back.
VerdictThe call
Honest pass. The Blackhawks were the better side on the model, but -0.5¢ at the ask is under the 3.0¢ bar. Below the bar, spread and noise eat most of the edge, so passing is the call.
MoreRelated pages
SourcesWhere these numbers come from
- Polymarket market: order book (bid, ask, mid) and liquidity
- ESPN game page: schedule, venue, injuries, DraftKings line
- FOOFIGHTER model: no model for this league
- Original model log post on X: published 2026-10-27