NHL
Canadiens vs Blues Prediction, Odds & Pick (Oct 27, 2026)
Model vs marketThe numbers
| Team | Model | mid | Ask | Edge vs mid | Edge vs ask | DraftKings no-vig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens best side | 47.7% | 46.5¢ | 47¢ | +1.2¢ | +0.7¢ | 47.4% |
| St. Louis Blues | 52.3% | 53.5¢ | 54¢ | -1.2¢ | -1.7¢ | 52.6% |
Snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 21:59 UTC+8 (last pregame data pull). Edge = model probability minus price, in cents per $1 share.
SetupWhat this game is
Canadiens vs Blues is a regular-season game, played at Enterprise Center with tip-off at 8:00 PM EDT (08:00 on Oct 28, UTC+8).
Records coming in were 6-3-2 for the Canadiens and 5-5-1 for the Blues.
Model vs marketWhere the model and the market disagree
On our numbers the Canadiens win this 47.7% of the time. The market said 46.5¢ at the mid and 47¢ to buy, so the edge works out to +1.2¢ vs the mid and +0.7¢ vs the ask.
The other side, the Blues, traded at 53.5¢ against a model number of 52.3%.
The market had roughly $216K of liquidity when we pulled the book (Oct 27, 2026, 21:59 UTC+8). NHL leans need at least 3.0¢ of edge at the ask.
MatchupInputs
First-listed goalies on ESPN: Jacob Fowler for the Canadiens and Joel Hofer for the Blues. That listing is not a confirmation.
BooksSportsbook check
Over at DraftKings it was STL -122 with the total at 6.5. No-vig, the Canadiens come out at 47.4%.
Model and sportsbooks land within a point or so of each other here.
AvailabilityWho's in, who's out
For the Canadiens, ESPN had Nick Suzuki (upper body, out).
VerdictThe call
We passed. +0.7¢ of executable edge on the Canadiens isn't enough (the bar is 3.0¢), so this one stays off the record.
MoreRelated pages
SourcesWhere these numbers come from
- Polymarket market: order book (bid, ask, mid) and liquidity
- ESPN game page: schedule, venue, injuries, DraftKings line
- FOOFIGHTER model: no model for this league
- Original model log post on X: published 2026-10-27