NHL
Wild vs Canucks Prediction, Odds & Pick (Oct 25, 2026)
Model vs marketThe numbers
| Team | Model | mid | Ask | Edge vs mid | Edge vs ask | DraftKings no-vig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild | 63.9% | 64.5¢ | 65¢ | -0.6¢ | -1.1¢ | 63.1% |
| Vancouver Canucks best side | 36.1% | 35.5¢ | 36¢ | +0.6¢ | +0.1¢ | 36.9% |
Snapshot: Oct 25, 2026, 21:57 UTC+8 (last pregame data pull). Edge = model probability minus price, in cents per $1 share.
SetupMatchup and context
A regular-season game puts the Wild at Rogers Arena against the Canucks, scheduled for 10:00 PM EDT (10:00 on Oct 26, UTC+8).
Records coming in were 7-3-2 for the Wild and 2-9-1 for the Canucks.
Model vs marketPrice check
On our numbers the Canucks win this 36.1% of the time. The market said 35.5¢ at the mid and 36¢ to buy, so the edge works out to +0.6¢ vs the mid and +0.1¢ vs the ask.
The other side, the Wild, traded at 64.5¢ against a model number of 63.9%.
The market had roughly $192K of liquidity when we pulled the book (Oct 25, 2026, 21:57 UTC+8). The bar for an NHL lean is 3.0¢ at the ask.
MatchupInputs
First-listed goalies on ESPN: Jesper Wallstedt for the Wild and Kevin Lankinen for the Canucks. That listing is not a confirmation.
BooksThe wider market
The DraftKings line was MIN -192 with the total at 6.5, which de-vigs to 36.9% on the Canucks.
Model and sportsbooks land within a point or so of each other here.
AvailabilityInjuries and availability
ESPN's feed showed no recent or Out-status injuries for either team when we pulled it.
VerdictBottom line
Honest pass. The Canucks were the better side on the model, but +0.1¢ at the ask is under the 3.0¢ bar. Below the bar, spread and noise eat most of the edge, so passing is the call.
MoreRelated pages
SourcesWhere these numbers come from
- Polymarket market: order book (bid, ask, mid) and liquidity
- ESPN game page: schedule, venue, injuries, DraftKings line
- FOOFIGHTER model: no model for this league
- Original model log post on X: published 2026-10-25