NHL
Devils vs Avalanche Prediction, Odds & Pick (Oct 28, 2026)
Model vs marketThe numbers
| Team | Model | mid | Ask | Edge vs mid | Edge vs ask | DraftKings no-vig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Jersey Devils | 43.5% | 43.5¢ | 44¢ | -0.0¢ | -0.5¢ | 42.8% |
| Colorado Avalanche best side | 56.5% | 56.5¢ | 57¢ | +0.0¢ | -0.5¢ | 57.2% |
Snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 21:52 UTC+8 (last pregame data pull). Edge = model probability minus price, in cents per $1 share.
SetupWhat this game is
Devils vs Avalanche is a regular-season game, played at Ball Arena with tip-off at 9:00 PM EDT (09:00 on Oct 29, UTC+8).
Records coming in were 8-4-0 for the Devils and 6-5-1 for the Avalanche.
Model vs marketPrice check
On our numbers the Avalanche win this 56.5% of the time. The market said 56.5¢ at the mid and 57¢ to buy, so the edge works out to +0.0¢ vs the mid and -0.5¢ vs the ask.
For the Devils it's the mirror image: 43.5% on the model vs 43.5¢ on the market.
The market had roughly $283K of liquidity when we pulled the book (Oct 28, 2026, 21:52 UTC+8). NHL leans need at least 3.0¢ of edge at the ask.
MatchupInputs
First-listed goalies on ESPN: Jake Allen for the Devils and Mackenzie Blackwood for the Avalanche. That listing is not a confirmation.
BooksThe wider market
Over at DraftKings it was COL -148 with the total at 6.5. No-vig, the Avalanche come out at 57.2%.
The model and the books are basically in the same place on this one.
AvailabilityInjuries and availability
ESPN's feed showed no recent or Out-status injuries for either team when we pulled it.
VerdictBottom line
We passed. -0.5¢ of executable edge on the Avalanche isn't enough (the bar is 3.0¢), so this one stays off the record.
MoreRelated pages
SourcesWhere these numbers come from
- Polymarket market: order book (bid, ask, mid) and liquidity
- ESPN game page: schedule, venue, injuries, DraftKings line
- FOOFIGHTER model: no model for this league
- Original model log post on X: published 2026-10-28