Mammoth vs Flyers Prediction, Odds & Pick (Nov 1, 2026)

SetupMatchup and context

Mammoth vs Flyers is a regular-season game, played at Xfinity Mobile Arena with tip-off at 4:00 PM EST (05:00 on Nov 2, UTC+8).

Records coming in were 9-5-0 for the Mammoth and 3-8-4 for the Flyers.

Model vs marketPrice check

The model has the Flyers at 41.3%. Polymarket priced them at 39.5¢ at the mid, with the best ask at 40¢. That's +1.8¢ of edge at the mid and +1.3¢ at the ask, and the ask is the number that matters because it's what you would actually pay.

For the Mammoth it's the mirror image: 58.7% on the model vs 60.5¢ on the market.

Liquidity on the market was about $166K when we pulled the book (Nov 1, 2026, 21:52 UTC+8). The bar for an NHL lean is 3.0¢ at the ask.

MatchupInputs

First-listed goalies on ESPN: Karel Vejmelka for the Mammoth and Joseph Woll for the Flyers. That listing is not a confirmation.

BooksWhat the books say

DraftKings had UTAH -162 with the total at 6.5. Strip the vig and that's 40.7% for the Flyers.

Model and sportsbooks land within a point or so of each other here.

AvailabilityWho's in, who's out

ESPN's injury report for the Mammoth: John Marino (upper body, out).

VerdictThe call

No lean. The best the model could find was +1.3¢ on the Flyers at the ask, short of the 3.0¢ needed. Passing on thin edges is part of the process, not a dodge.