NHL
Kings vs Devils Prediction, Odds & Pick (Oct 24, 2026)
Model vs marketThe numbers
| Team | Model | mid | Ask | Edge vs mid | Edge vs ask | DraftKings no-vig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Kings best side | 37.2% | 35.5¢ | 36¢ | +1.8¢ | +1.3¢ | 36.9% |
| New Jersey Devils | 62.7% | 64.5¢ | 65¢ | -1.8¢ | -2.3¢ | 63.1% |
Snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 22:01 UTC+8 (last pregame data pull). Edge = model probability minus price, in cents per $1 share.
SetupMatchup and context
Kings vs Devils is a regular-season game, played at Prudential Center with tip-off at 3:30 PM EDT (03:30 on Oct 25, UTC+8).
Records: Kings 2-4-2, Devils 6-4-0.
Model vs marketPrice check
Kings 37.2% on the model, 35.5¢ on Polymarket. After the spread, the executable edge is +1.3¢ (it's +1.8¢ measured at the mid).
For the Devils it's the mirror image: 62.7% on the model vs 64.5¢ on the market.
The market had roughly $285K of liquidity when we pulled the book (Oct 24, 2026, 22:01 UTC+8). The bar for an NHL lean is 3.0¢ at the ask.
MatchupInputs
First-listed goalies on ESPN: Darcy Kuemper for the Kings and Jake Allen for the Devils. That listing is not a confirmation.
BooksWhat the books say
The DraftKings line was NJ -192 with the total at 5.5, which de-vigs to 36.9% on the Kings.
Model and sportsbooks land within a point or so of each other here.
AvailabilityAvailability report
On the Kings side, ESPN listed Quinton Byfield (upper body, day-to-day).
We left out 1 older ESPN note that referred to a different game day.
VerdictLean, pass, or context?
Honest pass. The Kings were the better side on the model, but +1.3¢ at the ask is under the 3.0¢ bar. Below the bar, spread and noise eat most of the edge, so passing is the call.
MoreRelated pages
SourcesWhere these numbers come from
- Polymarket market: order book (bid, ask, mid) and liquidity
- ESPN game page: schedule, venue, injuries, DraftKings line
- FOOFIGHTER model: no model for this league
- Original model log post on X: published 2026-10-24