NHL

Kings vs Devils Prediction, Odds & Pick (Oct 24, 2026)

Sat Oct 24 3:30 PM EDT (Oct 25 03:30 UTC+8) Prudential Center Honest pass

Published · Last updated (Asia/Shanghai, UTC+8)

Model vs marketThe numbers

TeamModelPolymarket midAskEdge vs midEdge vs askDraftKings no-vig
Los Angeles Kings best side 37.2%35.5¢36¢ +1.8¢+1.3¢36.9%
New Jersey Devils 62.7%64.5¢65¢ -1.8¢-2.3¢63.1%

Snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 22:01 UTC+8 (last pregame data pull). Edge = model probability minus price, in cents per $1 share.

SetupMatchup and context

Kings vs Devils is a regular-season game, played at Prudential Center with tip-off at 3:30 PM EDT (03:30 on Oct 25, UTC+8).

Records: Kings 2-4-2, Devils 6-4-0.

Model vs marketPrice check

Kings 37.2% on the model, 35.5¢ on Polymarket. After the spread, the executable edge is +1.3¢ (it's +1.8¢ measured at the mid).

For the Devils it's the mirror image: 62.7% on the model vs 64.5¢ on the market.

The market had roughly $285K of liquidity when we pulled the book (Oct 24, 2026, 22:01 UTC+8). The bar for an NHL lean is 3.0¢ at the ask.

MatchupInputs

First-listed goalies on ESPN: Darcy Kuemper for the Kings and Jake Allen for the Devils. That listing is not a confirmation.

BooksWhat the books say

The DraftKings line was NJ -192 with the total at 5.5, which de-vigs to 36.9% on the Kings.

Model and sportsbooks land within a point or so of each other here.

AvailabilityAvailability report

On the Kings side, ESPN listed Quinton Byfield (upper body, day-to-day).

We left out 1 older ESPN note that referred to a different game day.

VerdictLean, pass, or context?

Honest pass. The Kings were the better side on the model, but +1.3¢ at the ask is under the 3.0¢ bar. Below the bar, spread and noise eat most of the edge, so passing is the call.

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SourcesWhere these numbers come from

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Model vs Polymarket numbers before the games, graded results after. Losses included.

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How the model works

Probability vs the Polymarket ask, the bar for a lean, and why a pass stays off the record.

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Not financial or betting advice. This is model output shared for information and entertainment. Prediction markets and sports betting carry real risk of loss. 21+ only (or the legal age where you live), check your local laws, and play responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, get help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (US).

FOOFIGHTER Picks. Model output vs Polymarket prices. No guarantees.
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